3 Nov · 13:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1509
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mandrysz
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1481
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sindler🌟Sindler covers set handicap as underdog 70% (139)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H19-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.