3 Nov · 15:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1517
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Balcar
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1459
FormLWLWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kral🌟Balcar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (50)
Fair odds · Balcar
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H7-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)