3 Nov · 09:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki
ELO 1462
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Stapor
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1575
FormWWWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H14-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-7)