3 Nov · 08:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1624
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Galus
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1585
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
🌟Galus stays under total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Galus
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H50-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.