3 Nov · 15:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1637
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Moravec
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1605
FormWLWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H47-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.