3 Nov · 20:20 MEZLow · Coin Flip
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jirka
ELO 1494
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jirka
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1485
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
🌟Jirka stays under total as favourite 69% (32)
Fair odds · Jirka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H11-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.