3 Nov · 18:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1552
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vesecky
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1637
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H18-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-12)