3 Nov · 17:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1637
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vesecky
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kosacky
ELO 1605
FormWLLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H46-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.