3 Nov · 20:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1551
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vitasek
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1513
FormLWLLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Raska goes over total as underdog 62% (96)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H9-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.