3 Nov · 17:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1637
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1668
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Moravec🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (169)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.18· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H18-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.