3 Nov · 17:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1709
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sarganek
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1651
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as favourite 67% (139)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H31-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)