3 Nov · 20:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1511
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hrncir
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hrncir
ELO 1530
FormWLWLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sykora🌟Hrncir rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (52)
Fair odds · Hrncir
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.