3 Nov · 19:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1541
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hyza
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1610
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Hyza
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)