3 Nov · 18:35 MEZLow · Coin Flip
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1432
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1446
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (56)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.