3 Nov · 18:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jiri Cerny
ELO 1469
FormWLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Volek
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Volek
ELO 1566
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 67% (33)
Fair odds · Volek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~72 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)