3 Nov · 20:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1594
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chvatal
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1565
FormWWWWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Martin🌟Chvatal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (55)
Fair odds · Chvatal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.