3 Nov · 18:15 MEZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1618
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skulina
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1605
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Skulina
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H8-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.