3 Nov · 16:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1668
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krenek
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1618
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skulina🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (169)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H3-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.