4 Nov · 14:20 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1626
FormWWLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Hnizdil
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1396
FormLLLLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+230
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+230)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)