4 Nov · 08:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1627
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gembala
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1540
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)