4 Nov · 10:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1540
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Precek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1560
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Precek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H13-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.