4 Nov · 07:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1627
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gembala
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1560
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)