4 Nov · 13:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1562
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Benes
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1540
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr
Fair odds · Benes
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H37-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.