4 Nov · 12:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
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🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1473
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Drozd
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1451
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sturma🌟Sturma covers set handicap as underdog 63% (161)
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.