4 Nov · 12:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1396
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Knazik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1486
FormWWLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H56-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-22)