4 Nov · 11:40 MEZLow · Coin Flip
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🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1473
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Drozd
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zustina
ELO 1469
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zustina🌟Drozd rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (82)
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.