4 Nov · 13:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1797
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Bochnak
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1721
FormWLWWW
56%
44%
🌟Bochnak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (120)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H50-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-19)