4 Nov · 14:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1724
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1797
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Nadvornik🌟Nadvornik covers set handicap as underdog 70% (46)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H52-46
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (52-46)