4 Nov · 12:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1540
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Moravec
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1616
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H12-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)