4 Nov · 14:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1486
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dohnal
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1563
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (196)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H69-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (69-38)