4 Nov · 13:45 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1524
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1540
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krupnik🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (161)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H28-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.