4 Nov · 12:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1626
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hnizdil
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1563
FormLWWWW
55%
45%
🌟Dohnal covers set handicap as underdog 66% (50)
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H14-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-8)