4 Nov · 09:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1483
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1533
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 71% (198)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H42-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.