4 Nov · 10:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1483
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sochor
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1503
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Sochor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (30)
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.