4 Nov · 10:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1562
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vonasek
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1503
FormLWLWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sochor
Fair odds · Vonasek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H7-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)