4 Nov · 11:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1533
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vonasek
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1562
FormLLWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Vonasek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H60-72
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.