4 Nov · 08:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1593
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Stepien
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Chojnacki
ELO 1502
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
🌟Stepien goes over total as favourite 62% (16)
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)