4 Nov · 11:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1559
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Molka
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1568
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Molka goes over total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Molka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 37% · 2.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H90-139
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.