4 Nov · 16:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LV
🇨🇿Lubomir Vana
ELO 1462
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vana
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1422
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Vana
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.