4 Nov · 17:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1675
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zacharda
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1718
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vesecky
Fair odds · Zacharda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H11-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.