04 Nov · 11:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1564
3-0Final setsGola won
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1572
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Stapor at 55%. The actual result was Pawel Gola 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Stapor favoured — closing 1.57
Total 40.5
63 points played
Set handicap
Stapor −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Stapor −3.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Gola is favoured to win, below means Dawid Stapor.
▲ Pawel Golapre 41% → final 99%
Dawid Stapor ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsGola recovered from 41%54 points · 3 games