4 Nov · 16:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1429
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Baros
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1488
FormLLWLL
45%
55%
🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 63% (83)
Fair odds · Baros
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)