04 Nov · 10:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1619
3-1Final setsLovl won
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1572
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Lovl at 53%. The actual result was Jan Lovl 3-1 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Lovl favoured — closing 1.63
Total 75.5
69 points played
Set handicap
Lovl −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Lovl −2.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Lovl is favoured to win, below means Jirasek Martin.
▲ Jan Lovlpre 57% → final 99%
Jirasek Martin ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsLovl recovered from 32%71 points · 4 games