4 Nov · 17:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1582
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pribyl
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1606
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.