4 Nov · 17:15 MEZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1610
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Skulina
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1606
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Skulina
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.