4 Nov · 17:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1661
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zacharda
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1718
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Zacharda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 41% · 2.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H21-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)