4 Nov · 17:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Michal Henzel
ELO 1471
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Henzel
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1429
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Volny🌟Henzel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (12)
Fair odds · Henzel
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.01· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.