4 Nov · 19:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1718
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1804
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
🌟Bochnak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (120)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H68-55
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (68-55)