4 Nov · 18:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1488
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Baros
MH
🇨🇿Michal Henzel
ELO 1471
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
🌟Henzel covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Baros
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.