4 Nov · 14:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1572
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Stapor
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Chojnacki
ELO 1486
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)